Jerami Grant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Jerami Grant

NBA · Player Props

Jerami Grant

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Jerami Grant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerami Grant has compiled 22.1 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 91st percentile.
Jerami Grant has made 56.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 15.5% more than he's made from three in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Jerami Grant lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.5 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8).
The Trail Blazers will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Trail Blazers's feeble 106.8 points per game ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league playing at home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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