Jerami Grant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Jerami Grant

NBA · Player Props

Jerami Grant

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Jerami Grant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerami Grant has attempted 18.3 shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 14.5 rate last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 35.2 minutes per game on his home court this year.
This matchup is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Los Angeles Lakers are the visiting squad, their opposition has shot for the 3rd-lowest field goal rate in the league against them since the start of last season (45.3%).
This year, opposing starting PFs have logged 22.0 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Lakers, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 0.0 mark, Jerami Grant's technical fouls have risen this season to 0.1 per game.
The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league this year.
While playing away from home, the Los Angeles Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jerami Grant should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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