Jerami Grant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Jerami Grant

NBA · Player Props

Jerami Grant

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Orlando Magic vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Jerami Grant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerami Grant has converted 50.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 8.5% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Jerami Grant has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season without the home court advantage.
Jerami Grant has played 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The matchup against the Magic is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.5).
The Magic have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should increase opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
While playing at home, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jerami Grant will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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