Jerami Grant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jerami Grant

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jerami Grant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerami Grant has sunk 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jerami Grant has tallied 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court.
This matchup is a positive one for threes; when the Bucks are the visting squad, their opposition have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point shots per game in the league against them this year (11.0).
The Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

Jerami Grant has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).