Jeff Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Jeff Green

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 11, 2025 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jeff Green has converted 81.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 18.5% more than he's made over the course of the season on the road.
Jeff Green has made 72.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 30.3% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
The matchup against the Lakers is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jeff Green has played a mere 12.1 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 16.7 minutes per game last year.
When it comes to three-pointers, the Rockets's lackluster 12.3 sunk threes per game as the visting team comes in as the 8th-weakest in the league this year.
The 9th-slowest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Rockets.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Rockets.
Jeff Green has attempted a lowly 0.7 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 1.9 rate last season.