Jeff Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jeff Green

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Houston Rockets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Jeff Green has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 24.7% more than he's converted overall this season on his home court.
The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a mere 18.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting squad (3rd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Jeff Green has successfully made 34.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 10.8% lower than he's made in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
While on the road, the Spurs have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).