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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2024

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has converted 58.1% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Jeff Green has tallied 22.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The Rockets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

Jeff Green has made 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's converted over the course of the season away from his home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to offense, the Rockets's subpar 110.5 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 7th-fewest in the NBA this year.

This matchup is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team has posted the 5th-highest three rate in the league against them this year (38.3%).

The 4th-slowest tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Rockets.

Jeff Green is expected to experience a decrease in performance across the board on account of being on the road in this game.

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