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Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-123/-105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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In terms of shots from downtown, the Rockets's superb 38.3% rate of sunk threes comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year.This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).Jeff Green has successfully made 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's sunk in all games this year while playing away from home.Over the last 8 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has attempted 22.6 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.Jeff Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player performance for all stats.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jeff Green has attempted 3.7 shots per game this year, placing him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the NBA.Jeff Green has averaged 15.0 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 25th percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA.Jeff Green has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.This year, the other team has totaled 14.6 three-pointers per game (most in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, identifying this as a good matchup.The 3rd-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Rockets.
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