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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

LA Clippers vs Houston Rockets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jeff Green slots into the 86th percentile for scoring ability with the home court advantage with a a very good 58.9% rate this year.

Jeff Green has been called for a measly 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 1.9 fouls per game last year.

In terms of scoring, the Houston Rockets's remarkable 48.3% field goal rate while on the road comes in as the 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league at home this year, which should increase plays for the Houston Rockets.

When playing away from home, the LA Clippers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-most sluggish tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Jeff Green has failed to convert 0.8 free throws per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.4 mark last season.

This matchup is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 23.7 free throws per game this year (10th-most in the NBA).

Jeff Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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