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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 5/20/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-101/-128).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This matchup is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Lakers have the home court advantage, their opposition have tallied the 8th-least shots from downtown per game in the league against them this year (11.8).

The Lakers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 28.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

The matchup against the Lakers is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted a measly 20.2 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jeff Green has successfully made 31.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, -15.4% less than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.

While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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