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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 5/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has made 45.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 18.8% more than he's sunk overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Lakers is a challenging one for three-pointers; their opposition have put up the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (34.2%).

The Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 28.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home.

The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been lousy at getting to the foul line: 8th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging just 22.4 foul shot attempts per game.

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