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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 5/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Lakers are on the road, they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 15 games (19.4).

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 28.0% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Jeff Green will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually improves player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jeff Green has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home.

The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 8th-worst in the league this year with a mere 22.4 foul shots per game.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.8 foul shots per game this year when the Lakers are on the road (14th-least in the league).

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