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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Suns may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (25th-most in the NBA).

Jeff Green will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually raises player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jeff Green has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup against Phoenix is a hard one; when the Suns are away from home, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (13.1).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Suns have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.

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