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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has been on the court for 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season at home.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one; they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (110.8).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green has converted 93.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games at home, 25.5% higher than he's converted overall this year on his home court.

Jeff Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jeff Green has attempted and missed 2.1 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's missed from 3-point range overall this season.

Jeff Green has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league on their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

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