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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 4/23/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has sunk 1.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from three overall this season away from his home court.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one; they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 10 games (19.1).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green has converted 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's sunk over the course of the year while on the road.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.0 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.

The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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