Jayson Tatum Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Steals

Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 9:38 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-260/+190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -225 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -260.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has put up 1.6 steals per game this year on the road, ranking him among the hottest players in the league in this category recently: 96th percentile.
Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has averaged 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
The Warriors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Boston Celtics.
Jayson Tatum will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.