Jayson Tatum Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has compiled 7.7 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum places in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 35.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace road offense in the league this year (the Pistons).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 20 games, their opposition has come down with 10.0 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while at home, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the year at home.
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.

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