Jayson Tatum Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/25/2023

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 25, 2023

Updated May 26, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has totaled a terrific 8.0 defensive rebounds per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 6.6 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Without the home court advantage, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jayson Tatum will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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