Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2026

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 28, 2026

Updated Apr 28, 2026 10:18 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 40.8% on 3-pointers (4th-highest in the NBA) against the 76ers, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Celtics have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Philadelphia may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 5.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Philadelphia 76ers are the visiting squad (9th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The Celtics will likely experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the league this year, averaging just 18.8 free throws per game.

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