Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · May 12, 2025

Updated May 12, 2025 7:34 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum places in the 99th percentile, posting a massive 26.8 points per game this year.
Jayson Tatum has attempted 10.0 threes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 8.0 mark last season.
Jayson Tatum has tallied 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The Celtics check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jayson Tatum has attempted 9.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 18.6% on threes (worst in the league) against the New York Knicks, branding this as a hard matchup.
The slowest tempo team in the league this year has been the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Knicks).
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Boston Celtics's poor 19.5 free throw attempts per game places worst in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.