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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2025

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has logged 26.8 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 98th percentile.

Jayson Tatum has converted 4.6 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season away from home.

Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (12.2).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 10th-best in in the league away from their home court with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to scoring, the Celtics's feeble 45.7% field goal percentage while playing on the road settles in as the 10th-weakest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Andrew Wiggins is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Wiggins is at home and squaring off against fellow starting SFs since the start of last season, they have converted a lowly 29.2% of their 3-point attempts (17th percentile).

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.

Jayson Tatum stands to experience a decrease in production for all stats on account of being on the road in this contest.

More Jayson Tatum Player Props

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