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Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jayson Tatum has totaled 26.6 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 98th percentile.Jayson Tatum has successfully made 44.6% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 8.8% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum measures in the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 36.2 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.The Boston Celtics will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New York Knicks).Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 8th-best in in the league on the road with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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As it relates to shooting, the Celtics's poor 44.4% field goal percentage away from their home court settles in as the 6th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have shot 18.6% on threes (worst in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, marking this as a difficult matchup.The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home.This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, making it tough to get to the foul line.Jayson Tatum figures to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.
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