Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 23, 2024 7:01 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has sunk 11.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from his home court.
In contrast to last year's 8.0 mark, Jayson Tatum's three-point attempts have increased this year to 10.7 per game.
Jayson Tatum has played 35.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The matchup against Orlando is a positive one for field goals; when the Magic have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 10th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (49.9%).
The 5th-fastest pace road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.

Favors Under

In regard to three-pointers, the Boston Celtics's subpar 33.8% rate of drained threes places 10th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.
Jayson Tatum will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.