Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 3:39 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has scored 27.7 points per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
In comparison to last year's 8.0 mark, Jayson Tatum's shot attempts from downtown have jumped this year to 10.9 per game.
Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.5 minutes per game this year.
In terms of scoring, the Celtics's exceptional 120.7 points per game comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are on the road (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA on the road this year, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Celtics rank 7thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.