Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics · Nov 22, 2024

Updated Nov 23, 2024 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has attempted 11.0 treys per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.0 rate last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 35.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.6 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Washington Wizards, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Celtics are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Wizards).
The Celtics check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 8 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
Jayson Tatum will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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