Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 5/27/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · May 27, 2024

Updated May 27, 2024 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has sunk 10.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's sunk overall this year.
Jayson Tatum has played 43.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jayson Tatum has made 8.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing away from home.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.8 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 2.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on the road.
The Pacers have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Boston Celtics.
Jayson Tatum figures to suffer a reduction in efficiency for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.

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