Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics · May 13, 2024

Updated May 13, 2024 6:36 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has compiled 26.5 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.
In comparison to last season's 5.9 clip, Jayson Tatum's unsuccessful three-pointers have diminished this season to 5.1 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 36.0 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the league while playing on the road with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.1% on field goal attempts (4th-worst in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The most sluggish pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: worst in the league over the last 5 games while on the road, drawing a mere 13.8 free throws per game.
Jayson Tatum stands to experience a decrease in production for all stats on account of being on the road in this game.