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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 98th percentile, compiling a whopping 26.7 points per game while at home this year.

Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (43.4%).

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Jayson Tatum has successfully made 6.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's put through the net overall this year playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

The Boston Celtics are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo away offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

As a team, the Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 10 games, averaging a mere 14.9 free throws per game.

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