Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 97th percentile, tallying an enormous 26.5 points per game away from home this year.
Jayson Tatum has made 57.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 19.8% more than he's made overall this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum places in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 36.0 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 10th-best in in the league while playing away from home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 8.4 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Boston Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Trail Blazers).
Compared to last season's 8.1 clip, Jayson Tatum's number of free throws has decreased this season to 6.6 free throws per game.
With respect to getting to the foul line, the Boston Celtics's unimpressive 17.3 foul shot attempts per game comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.