Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 9:51 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum places in the 98th percentile, totaling a massive 27.1 points per game this year.
Jayson Tatum has sunk 46.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 8.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.
Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 35.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile.
When it comes to offense, the Celtics's outstanding 123.3 points per game rates most in the league over the last 15 games.
Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum registers in the 97th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, averaging a colossal 6.7 foul shot attempts per game when playing on the road this year.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 3.7 three attempts per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Boston Celtics are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).
The Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have secured 11.4 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets (continuing possessions that can create bonus chances for offense).