Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 9:57 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-119/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum rates in the 98th percentile, compiling a colossal 27.1 points per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum places in the 98th percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 8.4 per game this year.
Jayson Tatum has averaged 35.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
In terms of scoring, the Boston Celtics's outstanding 122.9 points per game ranks strongest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.4 shot attempts per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have snagged 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (saving possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).
Compared to last year's 8.1 clip, Jayson Tatum's number of free throw attempts has dropped this year to 6.8 free throw attempts per game.

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