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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has posted 26.7 points per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 10.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Jayson Tatum has tallied 35.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile.

The matchup against Miami is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Miami Heat are at home, opposing starting PFs have shot for the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (46.4%).

The Celtics have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (13th-least in the NBA).

Jayson Tatum will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

More Jayson Tatum Player Props

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