Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 7:47 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has notched 26.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 98th percentile.
Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jayson Tatum has averaged 35.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a favorable one for field goals; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 22nd-most buckets per game in the league this year (7.0).
The Wizards have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should raise plays for the Boston Celtics.

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Boston Celtics's feeble 115.1 points per game while on their home court settles in as the 10th-worst in the NBA over the last 8 games.
The 9th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Boston Celtics.
This year, opposing clubs have come down with 12.9 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (maintaining possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense).
Jayson Tatum has attempted just 6.8 free throws per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 8.1 rate last year.