Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 7, 2024

Updated Feb 8, 2024 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has tallied 27.0 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.
Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.3 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jayson Tatum has played 35.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Hawks is a good one for scoring; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (55.3%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Celtics.

Favors Under

While playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Relative to last year's 8.1 mark, Jayson Tatum's number of free throws has declined this year to 6.9 free throws per game.
The matchup against the Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the league).

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