Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has posted 27.0 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 98th percentile.
Jayson Tatum has attempted 7.8 three-pointers per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jayson Tatum has played 36.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 98th percentile.
The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year.
The Celtics are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (14th-least in the NBA).
Jayson Tatum will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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