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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has registered 26.1 points per game at home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum places in the 97th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 8.5 per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum places in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 35.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

The matchup vs. Detroit is a good one for threes; when the Detroit Pistons are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 27th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (45.0%).

The Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace road offense in the league this year (the Pistons).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a measly 20.3 free throws per game.

This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 31.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

More Jayson Tatum Player Props

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