Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has missed 10.0 shot attempts from the field per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 11.2 mark last year.
Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.7 treys per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jayson Tatum has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 97th percentile.
As it relates to offense, the Boston Celtics's fantastic 123.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the NBA this year.
The Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Magic).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Orlando is a tough one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (13.2).
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last year's 8.1 rate, Jayson Tatum's number of foul shots has tailed off this year to 6.7 foul shots per game.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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