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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jayson Tatum has sunk a whopping 10.6 field goals per game this year, quite a bit more than his 9.3 mark last year.
  • Jayson Tatum has averaged 36.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The matchup against the Orlando Magic is a strong one for threes; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 25th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.1).
  • The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics.
  • The Celtics check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 9 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jayson Tatum has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
  • When it comes to three-point shots, the Boston Celtics's poor 33.5% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage rates 6th-lowest in the league this year.
  • The 4th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.
  • Jayson Tatum has made a measly 4.7 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 6.9 mark last season.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Magic, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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