Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 7:38 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 46.0% mark, Jayson Tatum's shooting performance has increased this year to 52.1%.
Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 35.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league on the road this year.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have put up 17.6 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the 76ers, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Celtics have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.
In terms of 3-point shots, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 32.0% rate of successful threes as the road team places 5th-weakest in the league this year.
In comparison to last season's 6.9 clip, Jayson Tatum's foul shots hit have dropped this season to 4.5 per game.
Jayson Tatum will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers stat production for all stats.