Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 6:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum registers in the 99th percentile for shots taken, logging 20.9 per game this year.
Jayson Tatum has attempted 9.0 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jayson Tatum has averaged 37.0 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league on the road this year.
The matchup against New York is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the New York Knicks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.1).

Favors Under

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in possessions today from facing the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Knicks).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Celtics rank 9thworst in in the league with only 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 free throws per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
Jayson Tatum is expected to experience a decrease in performance across the board due to playing away from hom in this matchup.