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Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.0 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).On the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).Jayson Tatum has sunk a whopping 7.0 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 5.4 mark last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jayson Tatum has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (96th percentile).The matchup vs. Miami is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 12th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (25.7%).The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at drawing fouls in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing a measly 19.9 free throw attempts per game.
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