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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jayson Tatum has averaged a whopping 30.8 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 26.6 points per game last year.
  • Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.3 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.6 foul shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 6.4 rate last season.
  • Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year without the home court advantage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a tough one for scoring; opposing teams have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (48.1%).
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
  • Jayson Tatum will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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