Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 10:48 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 97th percentile for three-point shots made, logging 3.5 per game this year.
Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
In regard to three-point attempts, the most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing at home this year has been the Celtics.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 40.3% on 3-pointers (29th-best in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, designating this as a good matchup.
This year, their opposition has grabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.
The Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jayson Tatum will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance across the board.