Jaylin Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Jaylin Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jaylin Williams

F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Jaylin Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylin Williams has posted 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's posted in all games this season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Warriors have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaylin Williams will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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