Jaylin Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jaylin Williams

F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 7:35 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylin Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylin Williams has tallied 5.0 defensive rebounds per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jaylin Williams will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Jazz have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.