Jaylin Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jaylin Williams

F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Jaylin Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylin Williams has made 42.4% of his treys since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 21st-most three attempts per game in the league this year (1.7).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Suns may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 4.3 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (21st-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Thunder.
The Suns have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaylin Williams has made 53.8% of his free throw attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jaylin Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player production in all facets of the game.