Jaylin Williams Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Jaylin Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jaylin Williams

F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylin Williams Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylin Williams has successfully made 38.9% of his 3-pointers since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup against the Raptors is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting Cs have put up the 24th-highest three rate in the league this year (35.8%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Raptors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaylin Williams has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (76th percentile).
The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Raptors have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Thunder.
Jaylin Williams will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production across the board.

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