Jaylen Wells Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Wells

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 3, 2026

Updated Mar 3, 2026 9:48 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Wells Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's excellent 117.3 points per game measures as the 4th-best in the league over the last 20 games.
The 4th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Timberwolves have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have tallied 1.3 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the league).