Jaylen Wells Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Jaylen Wells

NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Wells

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Clippers · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Wells Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Wells registers in the 81st percentile for 3-point effectiveness with an excellent 40.2% rate this year.
The quickest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaylen Wells has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Jaylen Wells will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for field goals; when the LA Clippers are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 5th-lowest FG% in the league this year (43.3%).
The LA Clippers have played at the 9th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Grizzlies.
The matchup against Norman Powell is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when facing fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game (19th percentile).

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