Jaylen Wells Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Jaylen Wells

NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Wells

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Wells Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylen Wells has sunk 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
The quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Grizzlies check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaylen Wells has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Favors Under

In regard to three-pointers, the Memphis Grizzlies's feeble 34.3% rate of converted threes settles in as the 8th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the least treys per game in the league this year (0.8).
Jaylen Wells ought to suffer a drop-off in output across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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